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The Dashboard sorts by raw expected value. Best Bets sorts by a composite score that weights EV alongside the supporting factors that make a bet more or less reliable. A 5% EV bet on a hot player against a bottom-five defense often beats a 15% EV bet on a slumping player against a top-five defense. The composite score captures that.

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The composite score

Every prop gets a 0–100 score weighted across these factors:
FactorWeightWhy it matters
Expected Value30%The raw mathematical edge from our probability model
Sample Size20%Larger sample = tighter probability estimate. 30+ games = max score
Recent Form15%Last 5 games weighted heavier — a hot or cold streak adjusts the score
Matchup Quality15%Opponent’s rank against the player’s position and stat category
Injury Boost10%Bonus when a teammate is out and usage will increase
Streak Bonus10%Bonus for consecutive recent games hitting the line

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Confidence tiers

Picks are bucketed into three tiers based on score:
  • HIGH (80–100) — strong EV plus excellent supporting factors
  • MEDIUM (60–79) — solid plays, may lack one or two factors
  • LOW (under 60) — speculative; could be high EV but poor form or tough matchup

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Filtering

Min EV slider

Adjust the minimum expected value required. Default is +3%. Slider is debounced so you can drag without firing rapid requests.

Sportsbook filter

Show only books you have funded accounts at.

League filter

Toggle between supported leagues — six total today.

Refresh

Manually trigger a poll for the active league. Same data source as the auto-poll, just on demand.

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How to read it

A 5% EV / 95 composite bet is generally a better play than a 15% EV / 40 composite bet:
  • The 95 composite means the matchup, form, and supporting context all line up
  • The 40 composite is “high EV, but the model is the only thing pointing at this — everything else is a warning sign”
When in doubt, expand the row to see the full multi-book comparison and (if available) sharp signals or cross-book badges that might tip the decision.

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When the score lies

The composite score is built from data we have. It can’t account for:
  • News that broke after our last data pull
  • Players who are nominally healthy but visibly limping in warmups
  • Coach decisions about minutes / role on a given night
  • Weather (NFL specifically — not yet integrated)
  • Anything happening in the actual locker room
Always sanity-check a high-composite play against the news cycle before clicking. The dashboard shows recent news and injury status inline; use it.